Activity began to slow in October, with the development of only two tropical storms, Karen and Lorenzo. Initially, the depression moved slowly due to weak steering currents. Early on October 6, Karen weakened to a tropical depression, and several hours later disintegrated into an open trough off the coast of Louisiana. Several hours later, it matured into a tropical depression about 170 mi (270 km) east-southeast of the city of Veracruz.  On May 15, the United Kingdom Met Office (UKMO) predicted 14 named storms, with a 70% chance that the number would be between 10 and 18, and nine hurricanes with a 70% chance that the number would be between 4 and 14. , The precursor to Andrea dropped nearly 12 in (300 mm) of rainfall on the Yucatán Peninsula. , In late August, a tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure exited the west coast of Africa. The system moved westward and an area of low pressure developed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea on June 16. The first tropical cyclone of this hurricane season, Andrea, developed on June 5, while the final cyclone, an unnamed subtropical storm, dissipated on December 7. It began losing tropical characteristics while tracking across Florida and Georgia. Tropical Cyclone Forecast Verification; Atlantic Current Season Summary; E. Pacific Current Season Summary; C. Pacific Current Season Summary; NHC News Archive; Product & Service Announcements; Other Archives: HURDAT, Track Maps, Marine Products, and more About.  In the Dominican Republic, a firefighter from the community of Maimon was killed as he was swept away by flood waters while attempting to clear a clogged storm drain. The weakening of the THC was possibly the result of lowered ocean salinity and a decrease in North Atlantic Deep Water formation. Tropical Storm Karen Weakens As It Approaches The Gulf Coast. After initially moving westward toward Veracruz, the storm turned northeastward away from the coast. , The remnant system was monitored for regeneration. Based on satellite data, the wave was upgraded to a tropical depression at 18:00 UTC on July 23 while located about 175 mi (282 km) south of the Cape Verde Islands, and further intensified into Tropical Storm Dorian by 06:00 UTC the following day. On April 10, Colorado State University (CSU) issued its first forecast for the season, calling for a potentially hyperactive season with 18 named storms, nine hurricanes, four major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 165. Consequently, there was a significant cooling of sea surface temperatures over portions of the north Atlantic. Tropical Storm Karen aims for Gulf Coast Published Thu, Oct 3 2013 12:28 PM EDT Updated Thu, Oct 3 2013 12:29 PM EDT The projected path of Tropical Storm Karen.  In Tamaulipas, where the storm made landfall, the rainfall damaged crops and flooded rivers. Tropical Storm Karen.  Heavy rains across Tamaulipas and Veracruz triggered flooding in areas that had been affected by Tropical Storm Fernand just two weeks prior. In Oaxaca, a man died after being swept away by a swollen river. [nb 1] It was a well below average season for both hurricanes and major hurricanes but it was a slightly above average season for named storms. When an upper-level low strengthened to its west, an extratropical cyclone formed in response on December 3. Around midday on September 13, the depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Ingrid. The storm is moving north-northwest at ten miles per hour.  A surfer went missing in South Carolina and was presumed to have drowned. Tropical storm force winds are still reaching outward up to 140 miles from the center. As 4 AM CDT, Tropical Depression Karen was located near 28.3°N, 91.7°W, about 100 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, LA. Broadly speaking, ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. Karen, as of 2PM Eastern Daylight Time, was 240 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River and 275 miles south-southeast of Morgan City, Louisiana. Oct 4, 2013 Tropical storm Karen forms in Gulf, headed for U.S. Later that day, the storm attained its peak intensity with sustained winds of 65 mph (105 km/h) and a minimum barometric pressure of 980 mbar (29 inHg). As 4 AM CDT, Tropical Depression Karen was located near 28.3°N, 91.7°W, about 100 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, LA. Itunes- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-lapped-traffic-podcast-nascar/id1191851979 Podbean- https://thelappedtrafficpodcast.podbean.com/ Twitter- @lappedtrafficpc Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/thelappedtrafficpodcast TikTok- @lappedtrafficpc Instagram- @lappedtrafficpc Youtube- https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCA1FcdZAt28m5yzWUP7tj2Q Website- www.thelappedtrafficpodcast.com, Ep#211!! Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2013 USD. Make sure you subscribe and set to auto download! 1-3″ rain is forecast for portions of Florida and Georgia. Four days later, a mid- to upper-level trough increased convection along the northern portion of the wave. , In June, predictions from CSU and TSR were similar to pre-season forecasts due to the a lack of an El Niño and warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures across the Atlantic Ocean.  Rainfall from the storm peaked at 20.1 in (510 mm) in Tuxpan, Veracruz. Offshore, the freighter Rotterdam went missing with a crew of six amid 10-to-16-foot (3 to 5 m) swells. " The program, which had already lost contributions from an insurance company in June, was defunded further following the botched season forecasts.  In Texas, the storm brought minor coastal flooding to Brazoria County. Brian McNoldy at the University of Miami noted several reasons why NOAA should not cease seasonal predictions, including the variability of hurricane seasons and the value of supplementing climatology with seasonal forecasts. The storm rapidly weakened and degenerated into a remnant low early on June 21. Another tropical wave, which spawned Tropical Storm Erin, emerged into the Atlantic on August 13. Similarly, there were two tropical storms in August, Erin and Fernand. Accordingly, tropical depressions are not included here. The waves moved westward and merged into a single area of disturbed weather east of the Lesser Antilles. Tropical Storm Karen is now moving to the North at 2mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. [nb 2] In early October, Karen brought showers and gusty winds to the central Gulf Coast of the United States. Six hours later, the depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Lorenzo.  The following day, Tropical Storm Risk issued its third forecast for the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, calling for sixteen named storms, eight hurricanes, four major hurricanes, and an ACE of 134 units; this activity was predicted to be roughly 30% above the 1950–2012 long-term mean. Itunes- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-lapped-traffic-podcast-nascar/id1191851979 Podbean- https://thelappedtrafficpodcast.podbean.com/ Twitter- @lappedtrafficpc Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/thelappedtrafficpodcast TikTok- @lappedtrafficpc Instagram- @lappedtrafficpc Youtube- https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCA1FcdZAt28m5yzWUP7tj2Q Website- www.thelappedtrafficpodcast.com, The Lapped Traffic Podcast- Episode 212 Award Show W/Special Guests, The Lapped Traffic Podcast- Episode 211 LuckyDog & LapDown recap, The Lapped Traffic Podcast- Episode 210 Listener Call-In, The Lapped Traffic Podcast- Episode 209 W/Jeff Striegle. , A large tropical wave emerged into the Atlantic Ocean from the west coast of Africa on July 4.  In that country, an estimated 10 in (250 mm) of rain fell in 24 hours, causing several rivers to overflow their banks. Published on Oct 4, 2013. Oceanic and atmospheric gyres were able to strengthen in the subtropical Atlantic, allowing southward advection of cold air and water. Karen was moving … Thank you to everyone that has followed and listened! Early on June 19, the depression emerged into the Bay of Campeche and began strengthening due to warm sea surface temperatures. It also predicted an ACE index of 130 with a 70% chance that the index would be in the range 76 to 184. In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. The organization called for 12 to 17 named storms, of which five to ten would further intensify into hurricanes; no forecast was given for the number of major hurricanes. Thirteen of the fifteen designated cyclones attained tropical storm status. By Kevin McGill Stacey Plaisance The Associated Press.  NOAA typically categorizes a season as either above-average, average, or below-average based on the cumulative ACE Index, but the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a hurricane season are considered occasionally as well.  Four months later, on April 5, Tropical Storm Risk issued its updated forecast, continuing to call for an above-average season with 15.2 (±4.1) named storms, 7.5 (±2.8) hurricanes, 3.4 (±1.6) major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 131; the landfalling ACE index was once again forecast to be higher than normal.  Had the storm been recognized operationally, the storm would have received the name Nestor. Additionally, flooding was reported in some areas of the Northeastern United States. Karen is still a tropical storm, but her tropical storm force wind field has shrunk from over 100 miles earlier today to just 35 miles mainly to the east and southeast. Twelve days later, Tropical Storm Barry formed in the northwestward Caribbean Sea. , Early on July 22, a tropical wave with an associated low-pressure area emerged off the western coast of Africa. The system quickly organized and its circulation became more defined, warranting its classification as a tropical depression early on August 15. Early on November 20, convection increased again, and after the storm acquired a warm core, it was reclassified as a tropical storm. Downtown Miami is engulfed in storm clouds as Tropical Storm Karen heads toward Florida's Panhandle Oct. 3, 2013. Thank you to everyone that has followed and listened! The most significant effects were in Veracruz where hundreds of homes were inundated. Upon the spread of news about the developing tropical storm, Twitter users joked about the name of storm by connecting it to jokes about the Karen character who appears in memes as an angry, middle-aged white woman who often demands to "speak to the manager." The system moved westward over the next several days, moving into the Caribbean on September 25.
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